Business

The Business of the Good Old Days: nostalgia as a competitive advantage

While OpenAI and Anthropic still seek sustainable business models, MyHeritage and FaceApp print money by improving photos from the 1990s. The inconvenient truth: Consumers pay more to improve the past than to imagine the future. It's the "20-Year Nostalgia Cycle" monetized by AI at the perfect time-degraded digital archives + technology to restore them + generation with buying power. $17B→$50B market by 2030. But if we optimize only to look backward, who will invent the future?

The AI Of Nostalgia: When The Future Pays Less Than The Past Improved

While Big Tech is burning billions to convince us that artificial intelligence will change everything, a group of startups has discovered an inconvenient truth: consumers are paying far more to improve the past than to imagine the future. And this is happening exactly as popular culture experiences yet another revival cycle-this time the 1980s and 1990s-what sociology calls the "20-Year Nostalgia Cycle."

MyHeritage, a genealogy platform, has built much of its recent growth on Deep Nostalgia, the tool that animates old family photos. FaceApp continues to generate substantial revenue by turning selfies into aged or rejuvenated versions. ReminiAI enhances grainy photos from the past. Meanwhile, OpenAI and Anthropic still seek sustainable business models for their breakthrough technologies.

This is not an isolated case. It is a sign of a fundamental strategic transformation: the economic value of artificial nostalgia exceeds that of radical innovation. And it is happening at the precise moment when Stranger Things dominates Netflix, Y2K fashion invades TikTok, and 80s synths return to the charts.

The Eternal Cycle: Every 20-30 Years We Go Backwards

Cultural nostalgia follows predictable cycles. In the 1990s the 60s-70s were all the rage (Austin Powers, disco revival, bellbottoms). In the 2000s, the 70s-80s were back (That '70s Show, punk-rock revival). Today, in 2025, we are in the midst of the 90s-2000s revival.

Fred Davis, a UC Davis sociologist, documented in his study "Yearning for Yesterday" how collective nostalgia follows cyclical patterns of about 20 to 30 years-the time it takes for a generation to reach purchasing power and nostalgia for its youth. Konstantin Sedov of Uppsala University quantified this phenomenon by analyzing cultural trends from 1960 to 2020, confirming the 20-year pattern.

Nostalgia AI did not create this cycle-it is simply monetizing it with tools never seen before. For the first time in history, we can literally "enhance" memories of the past, not just relive them.

The Economics of Emotional Value: Why We Pay for the Past

The market for "computer vision AI" applied to photos and videos is worth $17.4 billion in 2024 and will grow to $50.4 billion by 2030, according to Grand View Research. A growing slice comes from nostalgic applications: photo enhancement, animation of historical images, video restoration.

But the numbers only tell half the story. The real revolution is in consumer behavior.

Research published in Journal of Consumer Research by Clay Routledge shows that nostalgic content generates significantly higher willingness to pay than "forward-looking" content. It's not sentiment, it's neuroscience: nostalgia activates the dopaminergic reward system, reduces anxiety about the future, and creates what Routledge calls "existential comfort"-existential comfort.

FaceApp has demonstrated this principle empirically: despite the fact that the technology is now commodity (face manipulation via GAN is widely available), millions of users continue to pay for transformations that trigger emotional responses-seeing oneself aged, rejuvenated, with different hair. This is not utility; it is emotional play with one's temporal identity.

The Minimum Viable Past Strategy

Nostalgic companies have developed a strategic approach opposite to Silicon Valley's "10x innovation" philosophy: instead of exploring new use cases, they refine the emotional experience of established use cases.

Prisma Labs with Lensa AI is the perfect case in point. Instead of competing with Midjourney or DALL-E on generative features, it focused on a specific workflow: transforming selfies into "magical avatars" that recall nostalgic aesthetics (90s anime, Renaissance portraits, 80s glamour photos).

The strategy is deliberately limited: it does not try to solve new problems, it does not educate the market on unexplored possibilities, it focuses on already existing desires amplified by the popular culture of the moment. It is 1x emotion, 10x execution.

Topaz Labs sells photo enhancement software that turns low-resolution images into high-definition-exactly the need of those who have digital albums from the 1990s-2000s filled with 640x480-pixel photos. The market exists because we are the first generation with massive digital archives but obsolete quality.

The Temporal Paradox: We are Living the Perfect Moment (And It Will Pass)

The most interesting insight concerns the time window. Nostalgic companies are exploiting a unique moment in history: we are exactly at the point where:

  1. The 1990s-2000s are far enough along to be nostalgic (20-30 year cycle)
  2. There are digital archives from that period but with outdated technology (grainy photos, low resolution video)
  3. AI technology is sufficiently advanced to improve them significantly
  4. The generation that created them now has purchasing power

In 20 years, when everything is already native in 8K HDR, this specific market will disappear. Companies know this and are aggressively harvesting while they can. But the cycle will continue: in 2045 someone will sell AI to "improve" the TikTok videos of 2025 to future standards.

Stranger Things and The Synchronized Cultural Revival.

The success of Stranger Things is no accident-it came exactly when Millennials (born 1981-1996) reached ages 30-40 with disposable income and nostalgia for childhood. Netflix capitalized on a predictable sociological cycle.

Nostalgia AI does the same, but on a personal level instead of a narrative level. Instead of watching a series set in the 1980s, you can turn YOUR photos from the 1990s into enhanced versions that trigger the same emotional response.

Y2K fashion on TikTok (low-rise jeans, fitted tops, Britney Spears aesthetic) targeting Gen Z is particularly interesting: they are buying nostalgia for an era they did not live through, mediated through social-filtered aesthetics. AI nostalgia allows Millennials to do the opposite: authentically relive their technologically enhanced past.

Both phenomena-cultural revival and AI nostalgia-are symptoms of the same time cycle. As Simon Reynolds wrote in "Retromania: Pop Culture's Addiction to Its Own Past," we live in an age of "archival frenzy" where the past is constantly available, remix-able, improvable.

The Risk of Cultural Regression

But there is a hidden structural problem. If cultural and technological innovation constantly optimizes for nostalgia, who invests in genuine innovation?

Mark Fisher, in his "Ghosts of My Life," documents how Western culture since 2000 has entered a continuous revival loop without producing genuinely new aesthetics. The 2020s have no visual identity of their own-they are a collage of references to the 1980s, 1990s, Y2K.

Nostalgia AI could accelerate this process. Recommendation algorithms trained on nostalgic preferences tend to amplify conservative bias in subsequent cycles, as demonstrated by research published in arXiv by Mansoury et al. (2020) on feedback loops in recommendation systems.

On an industrial scale, this means fewer incentives for foundational research, drain of talent from long-term to short-term projects, gradual erosion of radical innovation capacity.

It is possible that we are optimizing AI for a profitable but limited local maximum, sacrificing future global maximums. We are building more and more sophisticated machines to look backward instead of forward.

HereAfter AI: When Nostalgia Meets Immortality.

The most extreme case is HereAfter AI, which sells chatbots that simulate conversations with dead relatives. The technology is simple (customized language models on transcripts), but the positioning is revolutionary: from "AI chat" to "digital immortality."

Clients record hours of conversations with aging parents, the system learns language patterns and memories, and after death they can "continue" talking to them. Price: about $100 setup + monthly subscription.

It is not science fiction-it is extreme nostalgia. And it works because it activates deep human needs: the rejection of death, the desire to preserve connections, the fear of oblivion. Exactly like Egyptian pyramids or Renaissance portraits, but mediated by GPT instead of stone or paint.

The cycle closes: the most advanced technology is used for humanity's oldest purpose-preserving the past against the erosion of time.

Conclusion: The Future of Nostalgia (And Vice Versa)

AI nostalgia is not a passing fad-it is the latest iteration of an enduring cultural cycle, now amplified by technology that enables direct manipulation of memories.

In the 1950s Kodachrome existed to preserve memories in color. In the 1980s family videotapes. In the 2000s digital photography. Today AI that enhances, enlivens, preserves all this.

In 20 years we will be nostalgic in 2025-probably with even more advanced AIs that will make current ones ridiculous. The cycle will continue, because nostalgia is not a bug in human psychology but an evolutionary feature: it helps us build identities, maintain bonds, and give meaning to passing time.

But companies that simply ride this cycle without innovating beyond it are playing a timed game. The real competitive advantage will go to those who can monetize the emotional comfort of the past without losing the ability to invent genuinely new aesthetics, narratives, and technologies.

Because if 2045 is just an improved remix of 2025, which itself was a remix of the 1990s, we will have created perfect machines for looking backward in a world that has stopped moving forward.

Sources:

  • Grand View Research - "Computer Vision Market Size Report 2024-2030"
  • Davis, Fred - "Yearning for Yesterday: A Sociology of Nostalgia" (1979)
  • Sedov, Konstantin - "The 20-Year Cycle in Cultural Trends," Uppsala University
  • Routledge, Clay et al. - "The Past Makes the Present Meaningful," Journal of Consumer Research (2013)
  • Reynolds, Simon - "Retromania: Pop Culture's Addiction to Its Own Past" (2011)
  • Fisher, Mark - "Ghosts of My Life: Writings on Depression, Hauntology and Lost Futures" (2014)
  • Mansoury, Masoud et al. - "Feedback Loop and Bias Amplification in Recommender Systems," arXiv:2007.13019 (2020)

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